Excellent articule - an esoteric concept explained lucidly.

My take from reading Matthew Syed's Rebel Ideas:

Prediction = Information + Error

For predictions to be 100% accurate, the error must be zero. Predicting the future is impossible. What Syed shows is that diverse crowds predict more accurately than a group of like-minded individuals. Why is this? Due to the cancellation of errors. In a diverse crowd, positive predictions cancel out negative predictions resulting in improved accuracy.

Would really appreciate your feedback on my article!


Talkative. Easy-goer. Globetrotter. Quixotic. Polemic. Mind-changer. Tea Drinker. Nerd. I write (mostly) about the books I read.

Love podcasts or audiobooks? Learn on the go with our new app.

Get the Medium app

A button that says 'Download on the App Store', and if clicked it will lead you to the iOS App store
A button that says 'Get it on, Google Play', and if clicked it will lead you to the Google Play store